Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 13.073119 14.741339 16.633127 18.957010 21.762209 25.074947 29.337606
2025-05-18 10.751029 12.799833 15.314552 18.691788 23.211426 29.210760 38.070292
2025-05-25 9.409055 11.597022 14.424472 18.458495 24.267758 32.686337 46.573068
2025-06-01 8.509695 10.774584 13.822672 18.390484 25.387037 36.339172 56.364594
2025-06-08 7.687230 9.931485 13.046184 17.895296 25.698083 38.718834 64.765295
2025-06-15 7.152361 9.415470 12.648464 17.869217 26.687332 42.390908 76.968030
2025-06-22 6.506995 8.675105 11.833940 17.065693 26.210563 43.285244 83.729454
2025-06-29 5.937349 7.996137 11.043486 16.195559 25.459945 43.463711 88.926000
2025-07-06 5.510962 7.496278 10.481271 15.633084 25.167759 44.482497 96.726996
2025-07-13 5.627747 7.819467 11.227558 17.380847 29.527663 56.621406 143.453777
2025-07-20 5.491003 7.736856 11.308072 17.955994 31.682812 64.522706 184.802239
2025-07-27 5.156094 7.317027 10.792906 17.367058 31.268611 65.819111 202.456006
2025-08-03 5.011518 7.204311 10.805918 17.820221 33.329034 74.813292 266.770817
2025-08-10 4.764969 6.909618 10.482288 17.581212 33.773907 79.445674 318.145994
2025-08-17 4.545735 6.645298 10.189488 17.366842 34.236410 84.375067 382.281533
2025-08-24 4.368178 6.439163 9.983314 17.304402 35.067747 90.966887 476.969528
2025-08-31 4.150629 6.152633 9.610356 16.849463 34.801305 93.609599 548.324757
2025-09-07 4.008375 5.986800 9.446811 16.825492 35.687377 101.120674 702.905136
2025-09-14 3.783735 5.667457 8.977523 16.086347 34.472722 99.713464 745.051370
2025-09-21 3.565576 5.350556 8.496763 15.284640 32.975660 96.689415 758.871958
2025-09-28 3.396567 5.112868 8.153794 14.765667 32.224388 96.735042 829.105755
2025-10-05 3.493798 5.346914 8.722525 16.376385 38.095858 131.137671 2061.802341
2025-10-12 3.456960 5.339089 8.820878 16.905250 40.830556 153.156752 3957.110864